BJP to retain Uttar Pradesh, Manipur, Uttarakhand, AAP likely to scoop Punjab: Poll of polls


Yogi Adityanath - Poll of polls

Yogi Adityanath is likely to win a second term in Uttar Pradesh by a landslide

The Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) is all set to retain power in Uttar Pradesh – one of the most politically crucial states – while the Aam Aadmi Party will scoop Punjab, the poll of exit polls predicted, as the curtains came down on voting for state elections today. Five states – Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa, Punjab and Manipur – voted in phases, spanning nearly a month – to elect MLAs to the state Assemblies.

Yogi Adityanath-led BJP is likely to win a second term in the state by a landslide, five exit polls showed. The sum of exit polls by India Today-Axis My India, C-Voter, Today’s Chanakya, Jan ki Baat and Veto pointed to 260 seats for the BJP and its allies. The contest was for 403 seats – the majority mark being 202. The Samajwadi Party is projected to come in second with 126 seats. Congress’ massive push for women empowerment, amped by its slogan “ladki hoon lad sakti hoon (I am a woman and I can fight)”, failed to give the party the boost it had hoped for. It has been pegged to win four seats.

The poll of exit polls has predicted a neck-and-neck fight in the coastal state of Goa, where the BJP and the Congress have been predicted to win 17 seats each by India Today-Axis My India, C-Voter, and Jan ki bat. In the state with 40 Assembly seats and 21 as the majority mark, the smaller regional parties will most likely play kingmaker. C-Voter is the only pollster that has calculated the seats for Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress and predicted just seven seats for it – much less than what it had hoped to achieve. However, it could end up playing the role of the major powerbroker in the state.

So Read: | BJP to sweep UP, big win for AAP in Punjab: India Today-Axis My India exit polls

The Congress may, however, still win Goa if the state doesn’t see a repeat of 2017 when, despite winning the most seats in Goa, the Congress failed to form the government due to mass defections to the BJP.

Punjab, which witnessed raging infighting within the Congress and a change in chief minister in the months leading up to the polls, will likely see Arvind Kejriwal’s AAP walk away with its first win in the state. This is the second time AAP contested the state polls in Punjab. According to the poll of exit polls, AAP is set to win 76 of the 117 seats; the majority mark is 59. The second spot will likely go to the Congress, which had suffered heavy losses just before the election cycle set in with party veteran and sitting Chief Minister Captain Amarinder Singh quitting the grand old party to form his own party – the Punjab Locomotive Congress. To make things worse for the Congress, which has been projected to win 21 seats, Amarinder Singh entered into a pre-poll alliance with the BJP in the state.

So Read: | UP my Yogi ba, 288 and counting: Axis My India Exit Poll predicts big BJP win

The BJP is likely to win just four seats with its former ally Shiromani Akali Dal set to bag 14 seats. The BJP-SAD alliance suffered a big blow when one of the oldest members of the NDA – the Akalis – walked out of the alliance over the contentious farm laws.

Five pollsters have forecast a BJP win in Uttarakhand with 37 of the 70 seats going to the ruling party. The Congress is not far behind in a state that has shown signs of anti-incumbency and is likely to win 29 seats. In 2017, the BJP had managed to secure 46.51 per cent of the state’s total votes polled, while the Congress had won 33.49 per cent. Axis My India also found that 34 per cent of the voters in Uttarakhand preferred BJP’s Pushkar Singh Dhami as the next chief minister. Former Congress Chief Minister Harish Rawat, meanwhile, was the preferred choice of 31 per cent of voters.

In Manipur, the ruling BJP is set to win big and very well emerge as the largest party in the state, winning 29 of the 70 seats. The majority mark is 31. The Congress will likely bag 10 seats, an average of three pollsters – India Today-Axis My India, C-Voter, and Jan ki Baat – showed.

Votes will be counted on March 10.

The actual results may differ from the exit poll projections.

So Read: | Uttar Pradesh exit polls: SP gains at BSP’s loss but BJP gets massive majority


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